Blog | 2021 Golden Globes Predictions
2021 Golden Globes Predictions
February 26, 2021
By: Movie Critic Dave
Blog Categories
While we're all hoping for a little return to normalcy in 2021, thankfully the Golden Globes are paving the way by bringing back the hilarious duo of Tina Fey and Amy Poehler to host the 78th annual ceremony for a fourth time. These hysterical ladies will help us all commemorate this outlier of a cinematic year by providing an evening filled with laughter and unexpected winners. The Golden Globes is always great at bucking the norm with some unpredictable picks (cough cough Aaron Taylor-Johnson) and, if 2020 has shown us anything, we should expect craziness now more than ever. Guest contributor, Greg Rouleau, and I return to offer our best guesses at how this wild evening will unfold. Here are our final predictions for 2021's Golden Globe Awards:

For a full list of nominees click here

Smaller Categories
Best Animated Feature - Soul  [Dave] and Wolfwalkers [Greg]

Best Foreign Film - Minari  [Dave and Greg]

Best Score -  Soul [Dave] and The Midnight Sky  [Greg]

Best Original Song - "Speak Now" - One Night in Miami  [Dave and Greg]
Best Screenplay

Predictions: The Trial of the Chicago 7  [Dave and Greg]

Aaron Sorkin has a strong track record with the Globes and, if he comes away victorious, as both Greg and I suspect will happen, Sorkin's third win for screenwriting will put him in exclusive company alongside Quentin Tarantino and Robert Bolt who have also achieved the feat. As a serious contender for Best Picture Drama, The Chicago 7 feels like a safe bet in this race.
Best Supporting Actress

Predictions: Amanda Seyfried - Mank  [Dave] and Glenn Close - Hillbilly Elegy  [Greg]

While most of the chatter going around is discussing the Glenn Close vs Olivia Colman awards season rematch, it seems a little premature to discount Amanda Seyfried's career best work in Mank. She's certainly an underdog but there's always at least one surprise at the Globes, and I'm thikning it might come here. On the other side, Greg is going with Glenn Close who is without question the bright spot of Hillbilly Elegy.
Best Supporting Actor

Predictions: Daniel Kaluuya - Judas and the Black Messiah  [Dave] and Sacha Baron Cohen - The Trial of the Chicago 7  [Greg]

Recency bias and a timely film places all the attention on Daniel Kaluuya for his portrayal of former Black Panther Party leader, Fred Hampton, who was executed by his own government. But if I'm being honest, Sacha Baron Cohen's work in The Chicago 7 is far more memorable. Here's to hoping that Greg is right with this selection.
Best Actress - Comedy/Musical

Predictions: Maria Bakalova - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm  [Dave and Greg]

I'm thinking it will be a BIG night for Borat 2, and it will all begin when Maria Bakalova has her name called for Best Actress Comedy/Musical. By now we're all well aware of Sacha Baron Cohen's commitment to his title character, but Bakalova goes toe-to-toe with the master in this well-received sequel.
Best Actor - Comedy/Musical

Predictions: Sacha Baron Cohen - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm  [Dave] and Dev Patel - The Personal History of David Copperfield  [Greg]

While my heart is completely on board with Greg's prediction, as Dev Patel was simply wonderful in The Personal History of David Copperfield, my brain says that the Hollywood Foreign Press would LOVE to give Sacha Baron Cohen the platform for a political speech. Greg sees it happening in the Best Supporting Actor race, while a less competitive field here makes me lean in this direction.
Best Actress - Drama

Predictions: Carey Mulligan - Promising Young Woman  [Dave and Greg]

While Frances McDormand could be in line for the win, thanks to a huge wave of support for Nomadland (as she is great, for sure), there's something about Carey Mulligan's unforgettable work in Promising Young Woman that makes her a more viable pick at the Globes than the Oscars in April, and both Greg and I agree.
Best Actor - Drama

Predictions: Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom  [Dave] and Anthony Hopkins - The Father  [Greg]

Sometimes the chatter of posthumous honors feels like it should come with an astericks, mostly as a way of rewarding an inferior performance for a lifetime of achievements. Yet, Chadwick Boseman delivers a true powerhouse turn in Ma Rainey and he would be just as deserving if he hadn't sadly passed. I can't see the Globes or Oscars going in a different direction. But if either or them does, it seems universally agreed upon that Anthony Hopkins would be the spoiler. 
Best Director
Predictions: Chloé Zhao - Nomadland  [Dave and Greg] 

With more differences in opinion than usual, Greg and I line up here in the Best Director race. Nomadland is shaping up to be an unstoppable Oscar frontrunner and that usually means the film's director follows suit. Chloé Zhao has some worthy competition but all signs point to her taking home the statue and setting up both her and her film for a BIG night at the Academy Awards.
Best Picture - Comedy/Musical

Predictions: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm  [Dave] and Hamilton  [Greg]

In its quest for one of the cermony's biggest honors, there's something about Hamilton being filmed on a stage that rubs me the wrong way. It doesn't offer the same cinematic feel that we should expect from our "other" Best Picture winner at the Globes. And although I admittedly wasn't a fan of the Borat sequel (give my vote to Palm Springs, all the way), I refuse to stand in the corner of a pre-recorded stage play. In addition, it would be the first time since Toy Story 2 that a sequel wins this award.
Best Picture - Drama

Predictions: Nomadland  [Dave] and The Trial of the Chicago 7  [Greg]

Unlike past years where the Globes found ways of shoe-horning films that seem like an odd fit into the Best Comedy/Musical category, 2021 features all of the big heavyweight contenders in the Best Drama race. Typically, I try going against the grain with a pick that's contrarian to the Oscar frontrunner, maybe shifting to something like Greg's choice of The Chicago 7 (a strong and timely film with a real shot at winning), but I always end up getting burned. Therefore, I'm going with Nomadland, the film that everyone is trying to leap-frog in the race to the Oscars.