How about those Oscar noms? Tuesday's early morning announcement included far more surprises than anyone was expecting, which mostly amounted to an overwhelmingly strong showing for foreign films Roma
and Cold War
. The Academy's quest for diversity has led to a recent influx of newly-accepted foreign members which has clearly made an impact on the current, and potentially the future, state of Hollywood's most prestigious awards ceremony. Even the cash-printing superhero flick Black Panther
has made headlines with its barrier-breaking inclusion in the Best Picture field. Needless to say, we'll have to monitor these trends and see where exactly the Oscars will go from here. In the meantime, lets talk about the current state of the major races.
For a full list of Oscar nominees click here
When Green Book
won the PGA less than a week ago, I truly believed the film was destined for the driver seat in this year's race for Best Picture. However, Peter Farrelly's miss for Best Director and being out-nominated by a host of other films knocks Green Book
down a peg. Instead, I feel like this will be a tight three-way race between Roma
and The Favourite
. From there, Green Book
have the faintest of chance at stealing the awards.
has steamrolled through the precursors and it looks like he's in line to win a second directing Oscar for Roma
. The only way he loses is if BlacKkKlansman
or The Favourite
go on to have an unimaginable evening and the film's director, either Spike Lee
or Yorgos Lanthimos
, rides a wave of momentum. Unlikely, but certainly possible.
's (Bohemian Rhapsody
) meteoric rise has completely stunned me. Perhaps I shouldn't be so shocked. It's an unusually weak field and biopics tend to earn added appeal. Either way, Malek seems poised to win a statue for his role as Queen frontman Freddie Mercury. That is, unless Christian Bale
) can unseat him with his well-chronicled physical transformation into former Vice President Dick Cheyney. We'll see what SAG has to say with this Sunday's awards show.
Honoring a deserving veteran performer whose missed out countless times before is a staple for voters and Glenn Close
appears to the benefactor wife her role in The Wife
. Her nemesis, though, is Olivia Colman
) another long-time familiar face that's more than deserving of the honor. And still, I wouldn't discount the always influential Lady Gaga
(A Star Is Born
) who's capable of pulling off any upset. It will be interesting to see where SAG goes with this award, but my money's own Glenn Close to pull off a clean sweep through the Oscars.
Best Supporting Actor
looks primed to capture a second Supporting Actor Oscar for his exceptional work in Green Book
. There was a moment I viewed Richard E. Grant
(Can You Ever Forgive Me?
) as a potential spoiler, but now I'm thinking it's Sam Elliott
(A Star Is Born
) who has the best chance at stealing an upset over Ali. It's a tall order, but crazier things have happened.
Outside of Best picture, Best Supporting Actress feels like the most interesting and wide-open race of the awards season. Rumor is a lot of voters refuse to favor one co-star over in another between Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz (The Favourite
), theoretically elimating them from competition. That would leave a two-way showdown between Amy Adams
) and Regina King
(If Beale Street Could Talk
), either of which wouldn't surprise me. However, I would generally give the slight edge to Adams as a worthy veteran whose film was recognized as a Best Picture contender, unlike King.